Luxembourg could reach one million residents by 2070, Statec projects

Luxembourg’s population could pass the symbolic one-million mark by 2070, according to new demographic projections from Statec reported by RTL. The country is expected to keep growing strongly until around 2050 before the pace gradually slows.

Migration remains the central engine of that growth, continuing the pattern that has shaped Luxembourg for decades. The projection also assumes that life expectancy will rise further: by 2070, women could live on average to 90.3 years and men to 86.7.

The demographic question is not only how many people live in Luxembourg, but what kind of age structure the country will have. RTL reports that the average age could rise from about 40 today to between 46 and 48 by 2070.

Fertility remains below the level needed for generational replacement. Statec expects a slight increase from around 1.2 children per woman today to 1.5 by 2070, still far below the 2.1 level normally associated with replacement.

The projection has practical consequences. Housing, transport, pensions, schools, healthcare and labour-market policy all depend on whether Luxembourg prepares for a larger population and an older one at the same time.